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Kettle Creek Conservation Authority
Windy Weekend Forecast for Lake Erie

St. Thomas, Ontario, November 9, 2018 - A low pressure system moving into the Lake Erie region with sustained strong winds today and Saturday has prompted Kettle Creek Conservation Authority (KCCA) to issue a Watershed Conditions Statement-Water Safety for residents of Port Stanley. Based on current weather conditions KCCA does not anticipate significant flood uprush activity in Port Stanley, however residents are urged to monitor their local conditions.

Wind speeds ranging from 50 to 70 km/hr, from south-southwest with gusts reaching 80 to 90 km/hr starting early Saturday morning are likely to persist throughout the day before shifting to west-northwest by evening with diminished speeds. "Lake Erie water levels are elevated this flood season," says Jennifer Dow, water conservation supervisor at Kettle Creek Conservation Authority. "Under these sustained windy and gusty conditions, there is the potential for minor shoreline flooding in Port Stanley over the weekend."

Environment Canada's Marine Forecast has issued a gale force warning for the north shore of Lake Erie. Waves of one metre building to two to three metres this evening are expected. Forecast precipitation is a mix of light rain and flurries overnight with a risk of thunderstorm activity. Erosion and pooling along the shoreline may occur.

"This is a good time to remind residents to prepare for the flood season by removing property from low-lying areas," says Dow. "This includes items like docks, watercraft, trailers and vehicles." People should take extra caution and avoid the shoreline. The waves can be strong and the shoreline slippery. There could also be hazardous debris within the waves and water.

Updates will be made available if conditions warrant. This water conditions statement – water safety will remain in effect until Monday, November 12, 2018. For further updates log on to www.kettlecreekconservation.on.ca or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Twitter @KettleCreekCA or on Facebook at www.facebook.com/KettleCreekCa.

The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:

  • Watershed Conditions Statement: a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.
  • Flood Watch: Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.
  • Flood Warning: Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations

Last Updated: Friday, 09 November 2018 16:52:22 PM EST

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